Forecasting2026-04-22 · 9 min
Why point forecasts are insufficient for replenishment planning
We argue for distributional forecasts as the minimum viable output for any production demand model.
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Technical writing on the systems we build, the trade-offs we make, and the targets we hold ourselves to in production.
We argue for distributional forecasts as the minimum viable output for any production demand model.
An overview of the warm-start solver and incremental constraint propagation that keeps decision latency bounded.
A pattern for safely replaying events into ERP systems that were never designed for at-least-once delivery.
Lessons from deploying manual intervention surfaces alongside autonomous orchestration in 24/7 control rooms.