Forecasting2026-04-22 · 9 min
Why point forecasts are insufficient for replenishment planning
We argue for distributional forecasts as the minimum viable output for any production demand model.
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Technical writing on the systems we build, the trade-offs we make, and the measurements we take in production.
We argue for distributional forecasts as the minimum viable output for any production demand model.
An overview of the warm-start solver and incremental constraint propagation that keeps decision latency bounded.
A pattern for safely replaying events into ERP systems that were never designed for at-least-once delivery.
Lessons from deploying manual intervention surfaces alongside autonomous orchestration in 24/7 control rooms.